Mahalanobis - am 2005-12-01 20:47 - Rubrik: Finance
Robert Schwartz (guest) meinte am 2. Dec, 00:50:
I remember late 1979/early 1980 very well. I was working in an office at the corner of 47th and 6th in Manhattan. I could see the diamond district. As the price of gold ran up $650/oz. (1979 $s) and silver ran up with the Hunt corner to about $50/oz. I could see lines of people out the doors of the jewelers selling old rings and candlesticks.When gold hit $800 the Federal Reserve could have paid off its liabilities, and liquidated solvent.
We got married in April, 1980. I bought our wedding rings when gold peaked over $800 in January of that year, I call it a bargain, the best I ever had.
There is no comparison between economic conditions then and now. Jimmy Carter had lost control of the country's money supply. Inflation was running over 12%/yr. Interest rates were going up to 20%. Carter was forced to surrender control of monetary policy to Paul Volker. There was the smell of panic. We do not face similar conditions.
pauln meinte am 2. Dec, 06:58:
What's really interesting is if you plot the real gold price (in the dominant civilization of each time period, I guess) back to ancient times. The closest I could find is this:http://www.silverbearcafe.com/private/images/600yeargold6.gif
(I wonder if Buffett 's finally in the black on all that silver he bought...)
pauln antwortete am 2. Dec, 07:12:
Heh, I was browsing that directory to see if there were any other cool plots - this one is funny:http://www.silverbearcafe.com/private/images/Charts18.gif
Looks like technical analysis was right (heh heh)!
